Tilanne muuttuu 1.päivänä tammikuuta 2015 jolloin Venäjä aloittaa virallisestikin irrottautumisen euron ja dollarin sidonnaisuudesta. Kun otetaan huomioon joulunpyhät ym. on lännellä enää vain viikko aikaa romauttaa Venäjä. Ei tule onnistumaan.
Aleksei Kettunen:
" The Eurasian Economic Union comes into force on January 1, 2015. Most likely at the same time the Russian ruble and foreign exchange markets will change drastically, and the Russian economy will take a distance to the dollar and the euro. Now the West is doing its best to weaken the ruble and thus destabilize the Russian economy and the political system before the end of the year. The maxima of the West is to prevent the emergence of the new economic union and closer cooperation within the BRICS. Taking into account the Christmas holidays, the West has little more than a week to succeed.
What are the Russian authorities doing? Trying their best to defend the ruble and the Russian economy. Their actions are limited by two factors: first, in this battle Russia's foreign currency reserves may be used only minimally (for which there are far better uses), and, secondly, the entire process must take place under the rules of the dollar-based global liberal economic model (because Russia will disconnect from the dollar system only later).
For the rest of the year the going will only get tougher. Even under the liberal economic model the Central Bank of Russia and the government have much stronger measures to stabilize and strengthen the ruble, which they probably will introduced as needed.
Russia will detach itself from the global dollar economy according to earlier plans .Until then it will continue defending the ruble. The West on its part will make every effort to weaken the ruble. What will be the end result? Time will tell – or the stars. I predict that next year will see a surprise!
What might this 2015 surprise be?
The Russian government has already informed Russian banks that the amounts of reserve currency deposits placed by various ministries in Russian banks will be drastically less than during previous years. These funds will instead be used to finance various domestic infrastructure projects. All this means that the Russian government obsessed with saving during all the 2000s and 2010s will become a big spender investing in strategical domestic projects. This will considerably strengthen Russian economy.
Another factor will be the Eurasian Union.
The third factor is a combination of recent Russia-China, Russia-Iran and Russia-India megaprojects and financing from the New Development Bank NDB (formerly referred to as the BRICS Development Bank). Russian President, Government and Bank of Russia have consistently informed the market players that now is the time to concentrate on domestic markets and domestic financial resources. All this will probably mean the unlinking of Russian economy from dollar-dominated Western economy.
Enjoy the cliffhanger! "
Aleksei Kettunen:
" The Eurasian Economic Union comes into force on January 1, 2015. Most likely at the same time the Russian ruble and foreign exchange markets will change drastically, and the Russian economy will take a distance to the dollar and the euro. Now the West is doing its best to weaken the ruble and thus destabilize the Russian economy and the political system before the end of the year. The maxima of the West is to prevent the emergence of the new economic union and closer cooperation within the BRICS. Taking into account the Christmas holidays, the West has little more than a week to succeed.
What are the Russian authorities doing? Trying their best to defend the ruble and the Russian economy. Their actions are limited by two factors: first, in this battle Russia's foreign currency reserves may be used only minimally (for which there are far better uses), and, secondly, the entire process must take place under the rules of the dollar-based global liberal economic model (because Russia will disconnect from the dollar system only later).
For the rest of the year the going will only get tougher. Even under the liberal economic model the Central Bank of Russia and the government have much stronger measures to stabilize and strengthen the ruble, which they probably will introduced as needed.
Russia will detach itself from the global dollar economy according to earlier plans .Until then it will continue defending the ruble. The West on its part will make every effort to weaken the ruble. What will be the end result? Time will tell – or the stars. I predict that next year will see a surprise!
What might this 2015 surprise be?
The Russian government has already informed Russian banks that the amounts of reserve currency deposits placed by various ministries in Russian banks will be drastically less than during previous years. These funds will instead be used to finance various domestic infrastructure projects. All this means that the Russian government obsessed with saving during all the 2000s and 2010s will become a big spender investing in strategical domestic projects. This will considerably strengthen Russian economy.
Another factor will be the Eurasian Union.
The third factor is a combination of recent Russia-China, Russia-Iran and Russia-India megaprojects and financing from the New Development Bank NDB (formerly referred to as the BRICS Development Bank). Russian President, Government and Bank of Russia have consistently informed the market players that now is the time to concentrate on domestic markets and domestic financial resources. All this will probably mean the unlinking of Russian economy from dollar-dominated Western economy.
Enjoy the cliffhanger! "
Vastaukset 8
Vanhimmat
Jotakin mielisairasta horinaasi taas, vai.
Voi herranen aika,
mikä tarve nyt on romuttaa Venäjän tai minkään maan taloutta,
eihän siitä ole muuta kuin vahinkoa
Aika likaista peliä on. Mutta USA tekee nyt kaikkensa lyödäkseen Venäjän polvilleen.
Näin se on.
ruplahan kelluu tällä hetkelläkin.
Bonimaju?
Rupla on todellakin päästetty kellumaan jo ajat sitten.Nämä kokoomustollot vaan eivät tajua raha-asioista eivätkä heidän vanhempansakkaan ,puhumattakaan että he osaisivat hoitaa valtion taloutta.
Venäjällä on paljon mahdollisuuksia kiinnittää rupla vaikka kiinan valuuttaan tai sitten kultaan.Ensiksi on kuitenkin etsittävä sopiva taso ,mikä hyödyntää venäjän vientimahdollisuuksia ja kilpailukykyä.Toiseksi Venäjä voi ottaa käyttöön valuutan säännöstelyn ,kuten on voimassa Norjassa,maailman rikkaimmassa öljyvaltiossakin.Meille suomalaisille kävi huonosti kun Kulperi,Holkeri ja Sorsa vapauttivat lainamarkkinat ja saivat Suomeen 90 luvun laman.lipponen ja muut kokoomuslaiset kumppanit hoitivat loputkin kilpailukyvystä helkuttiin ja nyt olemmekin kusessa korviamme myöten.
Kaiken lisäksi läntisillä pankeilla on suuret rahat pelissä Venäjällä ja jos niin huonosti kävisi että pankkisekstori romahtaisi olisimme kaikki tuuliajolla ja taas etsittäisiin tukipakettia,mutta nyt ei kreikkaan.
ny on menosaa semmone peli et kuka piättää hengitystä pisimpään :D eli usa ja arabi öljy vai venäjä öljy :D .. eli öljy tuottoo o nostettu jotta venäjän öljy ei kelpais?? eli takkiin tulee rankasti koko kummallaki mut kumpi kestää sitä pitempään on voittaja :D
Öljystä tulee jatkossa olemaan entistä kovempi pula. Arabiöljy oli aikoinaan todella edullista pumpata. Näin ei ole tulevaisuudessa. Öljyn hinta on tällä hetkellä keinotekoisen alhaalla. Tämä ei jatku kauan.